{
  "model_version": "2026-09-17.1",
  "engine_sha256": "81c4537e86a52900ac36568c8c7b8711f1892667ea19a3f5385ec4da1b6f8028",
  "methods_sha256": "c1cf7f488c9f0c2047330cb04d0acecb40456770344f1230cffa83ab29b1a8bd",
  "generated": "2026-09-18",
  "basis": "Advanced-page default scenario (maturity 0.5 mapped to 2036), seed 42, 30,000 draws; USD/kg wet biomass in mixed source-year dollars.",
  "interpretation": "Exploratory uncertainty attribution among displayed inputs. Variance shares are not research value. The nearest-neighbour Shapley estimator is biased toward zero or below for inputs that add little information, and breaks down with many inputs at these subsample sizes; compare runs before reading small differences.",
  "default_parameters": {
    "plant_kta_p5": 10,
    "plant_kta_p95": 40,
    "uptime_mean": 0.9,
    "maturity_mean": 0.4,
    "p_hydro_mean": 0.75,
    "p_recfactors_mean": 0.5,
    "p_supp_protein_mean": 0.7,
    "wacc_p5": 0.08,
    "wacc_p95": 0.2,
    "asset_life_lo": 8,
    "asset_life_hi": 20,
    "density_gL_p5": 30,
    "density_gL_p95": 200,
    "media_turnover_p5": 0.5,
    "media_turnover_p95": 3,
    "p_fedbatch": 0.2,
    "p_perfusion": 0.5,
    "p_continuous": 0.3,
    "gf_progress": 50,
    "include_capex": true,
    "include_fixed_opex": true,
    "include_downstream": false,
    "cdmo_mode": false,
    "cdmo_toll_p5": 4,
    "cdmo_toll_p95": 40,
    "bundled_media": false,
    "bundled_media_p5": 50,
    "bundled_media_p95": 500,
    "override_mode_constraints": false,
    "ep_media_p10": null,
    "ep_media_p90": null,
    "ep_gf_p10": null,
    "ep_gf_p90": null,
    "ep_density_p10": null,
    "ep_density_p90": null,
    "ep_media_p50": null,
    "ep_gf_p50": null,
    "ep_density_p50": null,
    "dependence_mode": "shared",
    "media_use_model": "density",
    "fresh_media_p5": 8,
    "fresh_media_p95": 60,
    "gf_dose_model": "per_kg",
    "gf_concentration_mg_L": 0.102,
    "gf_cheap_dose_fraction": 0.4,
    "target_year": 2036
  },
  "reduced_inputs": [
    "density",
    "media_turnover",
    "media_cost_L",
    "price_recf",
    "g_recf",
    "maturity"
  ],
  "full_sample": {
    "cost": {
      "p10": 14.985744515335226,
      "p50": 42.61764495141911,
      "p90": 159.78699274471643,
      "mean": 73.36392185451011,
      "sd": 100.77113059498436,
      "rank_r2": 0.7278097358539521,
      "inputs": [
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          "key": "density",
          "name": "Cell Density (g/L)",
          "kind": "primitive",
          "spearman": -0.6053896205286551,
          "srrc": -0.6107613722715207,
          "eta2": 0.254892651134337,
          "expected_sd_after_learning": 86.98523768850858,
          "expected_width80_after_learning": 108.61392099755372,
          "swing_mean_5": -214.9550145603013,
          "swing_mean_5_se": 5.000010436161681,
          "swing_mean_10": -167.5971302209048,
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        {
          "key": "maturity",
          "name": "Industry Maturity (latent — see note)",
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        {
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        {
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        {
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    "log_cost": {
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      "mean": 3.8285237087308412,
      "sd": 0.9140816792269728,
      "rank_r2": 0.7278097358539521,
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        {
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        {
          "key": "asset_life",
          "name": "Asset Life (years)",
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          "swing_mean_5": -0.05595017712362882,
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          "swing_median_10": -0.06744199343067692,
          "swing_p_under25_10": 0.028666666666666674
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        {
          "key": "plant_kta",
          "name": "Plant Capacity (kTA)",
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          "spearman": -0.024308090985231214,
          "srrc": -0.028492388050798137,
          "eta2": 0.000584918365231446,
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          "expected_width80_after_learning": 2.357392018327621,
          "swing_mean_5": -0.08562561806603952,
          "swing_mean_5_se": 0.0337175248738449,
          "swing_mean_10": -0.09008270159717124,
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          "swing_median_10": -0.08168949380709156,
          "swing_p_under25_10": 0.03866666666666668
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        {
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