About

Share Your Feedback

Comment on specific text with the Hypothesis sidebar (click the < button on the right edge). For longer comments, email contact@unjournal.org.

The Unjournal Pivotal Questions Project

This dashboard is part of The Unjournal’s Pivotal Questions initiative, which aims to synthesize research on high-stakes questions for effective altruism and global priorities.

Cultured Chicken Focus

The cultured chicken pivotal question asks:

What will be the production cost of cultured chicken by [target year], and what are the implications for animal welfare?

Warning

Model status (March 2026): This model is largely AI-generated and we cannot yet vouch for all parameter values. It is provided to fix ideas, give a sense of the sort of modeling we want, and surface doubts and disagreements — a framework for discussion and comparison, not a definitive cost estimate. We welcome scrutiny and suggestions.

This model aims to provide a starting framework for evaluators and forecasters to:

Explore uncertainty in cost projections (not to deliver authoritative estimates)
Surface key assumptions about cost drivers — and debate which matter most
Compare scenarios based on technology adoption
Anchor discussion and collaborative refinement — a shared reference point, not a settled answer

Model Development

Contributors

David Reinstein (The Unjournal) — project lead
Ash Meader — TEA literature review

Feedback provided by

Jakub Kozlowski
David van der Linden
Others who have contributed via Hypothes.is annotations on the dashboard pages — see the Discussion Map for active threads.

Sources

The model synthesizes insights from:

Risner et al. (2021) - UC Davis ACBM Calculator
CE Delft TEA studies
Humbird (2021) - Scale-up economics
Rethink Priorities forecasts
Good Food Institute market reports

Workshop & Events

Upcoming Workshop

We’re organizing a Cultivated Meat Pivotal Questions Workshop (May 2026) bringing together TEA researchers, evaluators, and animal welfare funders to discuss cost trajectories and funding implications.

Learn more & submit your availability →

Contact

The Unjournal
CM Workshop — Upcoming expert workshop (May 2026)
GitHub Repository
Pivotal Questions Documentation

License

This project is open source. Model code and documentation are available under MIT license.

--- title: "About" format: html: include-after-body: text: | <script src="https://hypothes.is/embed.js" async></script> --- ::: {.callout-tip collapse="true"} ## Share Your Feedback  **Comment on specific text** with the [Hypothesis](https://hypothes.is/) sidebar (click the `<` button on the right edge). For longer comments, email [contact@unjournal.org](mailto:contact@unjournal.org). ::: ## The Unjournal Pivotal Questions Project This dashboard is part of [The Unjournal's](https://unjournal.org) **Pivotal Questions** initiative, which aims to synthesize research on high-stakes questions for effective altruism and global priorities. ### Cultured Chicken Focus The cultured chicken pivotal question asks: > What will be the production cost of cultured chicken by [target year], and what are the implications for animal welfare? ::: {.callout-warning} **Model status (March 2026):** This model is largely AI-generated and we cannot yet vouch for all parameter values. It is provided to fix ideas, give a sense of the sort of modeling we want, and surface doubts and disagreements — a framework for discussion and comparison, not a definitive cost estimate. We welcome scrutiny and suggestions. ::: This model aims to provide a starting framework for evaluators and forecasters to: 1. **Explore uncertainty** in cost projections (not to deliver authoritative estimates) 2. **Surface key assumptions** about cost drivers — and debate which matter most 3. **Compare scenarios** based on technology adoption 4. **Anchor discussion and collaborative refinement** — a shared reference point, not a settled answer ## Model Development ### Contributors - **David Reinstein** (The Unjournal) — project lead - **Ash Meader** — TEA literature review ### Feedback provided by - **Jakub Kozlowski** - **David van der Linden** - Others who have contributed via [Hypothes.is](https://hypothes.is/) annotations on the dashboard pages — see the [Discussion Map](discuss.qmd) for active threads. ### Sources The model synthesizes insights from: - Risner et al. (2021) - UC Davis ACBM Calculator - CE Delft TEA studies - Humbird (2021) - Scale-up economics - Rethink Priorities forecasts - Good Food Institute market reports ## Workshop & Events ::: {.callout-note} ## Upcoming Workshop We're organizing a **Cultivated Meat Pivotal Questions Workshop** (May 2026) bringing together TEA researchers, evaluators, and animal welfare funders to discuss cost trajectories and funding implications. **[Learn more & submit your availability →](https://uj-cm-workshop.netlify.app/)** ::: ## Contact - [The Unjournal](https://unjournal.org) - [CM Workshop](https://uj-cm-workshop.netlify.app/) — Upcoming expert workshop (May 2026) - [GitHub Repository](https://github.com/unjournal/cm_pq_modeling) - [Pivotal Questions Documentation](https://globalimpact.gitbook.io/the-unjournal-project-and-communication-space/pivotal-questions) ## License This project is open source. Model code and documentation are available under MIT license.