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The Unjournal Pivotal Questions Project

This dashboard is part of The Unjournal’s Pivotal Questions initiative, which aims to synthesize research on high-stakes questions for effective altruism and global priorities.

Cultured Chicken Focus

The cultured chicken pivotal question asks:

What will be the production cost of cultured chicken by [target year], and what are the implications for animal welfare?

This model helps evaluators and forecasters:

  1. Quantify uncertainty in cost projections
  2. Identify key drivers of cost reduction
  3. Compare scenarios based on technology adoption
  4. Inform funding decisions for animal welfare organizations

Model Development

Contributors

  • David Reinstein (The Unjournal) - Project lead
  • David van der Linden - Model validation
  • Jacob Kozlowski - Financial modeling
  • Ash Meader - TEA literature review

Sources

The model synthesizes insights from:

  • Risner et al. (2021) - UC Davis ACBM Calculator
  • CE Delft TEA studies
  • Humbird (2021) - Scale-up economics
  • Rethink Priorities forecasts
  • Good Food Institute market reports

Contact

License

This project is open source. Model code and documentation are available under MIT license.